Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 120.266819 138.040434 158.482128 183.948179 215.128267 252.462746 3.011653e+02
2025-05-18 93.934622 115.614627 143.059115 181.126338 233.852537 306.374269 4.175947e+02
2025-05-25 80.917451 104.271263 135.801798 182.960546 254.492467 364.110393 5.565777e+02
2025-06-01 71.360882 95.155788 128.886920 182.396813 269.767209 416.510176 7.075353e+02
2025-06-08 63.646957 87.180243 121.859208 179.578384 279.841300 462.275922 8.670727e+02
2025-06-15 59.746359 84.061557 121.322885 186.492638 307.395994 547.702303 1.155477e+03
2025-06-22 53.422021 76.444965 112.615788 177.945854 304.563442 571.969496 1.315418e+03
2025-06-29 49.526083 72.147577 108.642827 176.891559 315.705130 629.780961 1.607083e+03
2025-07-06 46.316107 68.583692 105.397340 176.520759 328.013236 694.863138 1.977932e+03
2025-07-13 45.210276 68.314969 107.696391 186.992627 366.331811 842.179818 2.810307e+03
2025-07-20 44.527244 68.654285 111.060880 200.147941 414.776361 1044.455151 4.225841e+03
2025-07-27 42.097175 65.733931 108.092875 199.536289 429.182715 1150.699301 5.375295e+03
2025-08-03 39.926302 63.298662 106.177995 201.886548 455.062314 1324.304455 7.581347e+03
2025-08-10 37.305493 59.857692 102.011207 198.665168 465.510671 1453.724910 1.007630e+04
2025-08-17 35.523438 57.776086 100.260630 200.738353 492.435855 1677.120258 1.506808e+04
2025-08-24 33.666736 55.382920 97.592224 200.100999 511.051550 1884.319199 2.208102e+04
2025-08-31 31.768753 52.751563 94.142954 196.915700 520.522198 2059.043425 3.137585e+04
2025-09-07 30.970433 52.158670 94.906722 204.733509 571.482787 2539.660996 6.427218e+04
2025-09-14 28.856866 48.835676 89.457781 195.071584 555.179759 2575.753733 8.096296e+04
2025-09-21 27.567648 47.053784 87.220377 193.881006 571.460284 2872.098359 1.427283e+05
2025-09-28 26.439327 45.511279 85.363632 193.462342 591.086832 3235.160771 2.913167e+05
2025-10-05 26.217253 45.778077 87.609080 205.299298 668.434231 4291.418306 2.008081e+06
2025-10-12 26.148434 46.349801 90.625132 220.207710 769.966884 5999.555485 4.405468e+09